TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 9:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Maxim Mrva in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Joel Schwaerzler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Maxim Mrva in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Joel Schwaerzler. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant dynamics and informational efficiency. Traders on Polymarket may price in nuanced factors or real-time developments that sportsbooks might not immediately adjust for. The contrast can highlight where speculative interest diverges from established betting markets. Observing both can provide a broader perspective on expected outcomes, though each serves distinct purposes in how they aggregate and weight information.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official contest outcome, which is then automatically reflected in the market based on Polymarket's rules for event verification and settlement.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 3, 2026. Key fighters’ performance in prior bouts, training updates, or injury reports often influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and pre-fight hype can also create momentum swings. Any last-minute changes to the match format or venue may affect odds. As the event approaches, traders will react to any news that alters the perceived likelihood of either competitor prevailing, causing this market to fluctuate until it settles.