TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 7:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood that Jan Kumstat will win against Frederico Ferreira Silva with a set handicap of -1.5 in their tennis match in Liberec, currently at 100.0% on Polymarket, with settlement based on official ATP Tour results. The match was originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, and the outcome will be determined by the match result on August 7, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Kumstat and Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Liberec, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Frederico Ferreira Silva. This market will resolve to 'Frederico Ferreira Silva' if Frederico Ferreira Silva advances against Jan Kumstat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and proprietary models, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders on Polymarket price outcomes based on their own analysis, so you may see divergence from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official outcome of the bout, which is then matched against the market’s defined options. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmed results, as the market will close and settle automatically once the event is officially reported.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, changes to the fight venue or timing, and developments in either boxer’s training camp or public perception. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting trends on Polymarket may also influence trader sentiment. As the event approaches, any last-minute announcements or performance indicators are likely to cause noticeable price swings, so tracking news and trader activity will be important for anticipating market movement.