TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Elias Ymer in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Elias Ymer. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Ugo Humbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks factor in margin and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate real-time belief from many participants. For the Humbert vs Ymer match, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers. Significant gaps may signal undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to consensus expectations.
On Polymarket, the Humbert vs Ymer match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares trade between 0 and 1 USD, with the current price reflecting the market's consensus likelihood. As traders buy or sell shares based on their predictions, the price adjusts dynamically. The top outcome currently reflects the market's leading expectation, though prices remain fluid until match resolution on Jun 15, 2026.
The Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer prediction market resolves on Jun 15, 2026, following the conclusion of the match. The outcome is determined by the official result recorded by the tournament organizers and confirmed through established sports data sources. Once the match concludes and the winner is verified, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who correctly predicted the result. Early resolution is not expected unless the match is cancelled or postponed by the Libema Open.
Several factors could shift odds for the Humbert vs Ymer match before Jun 15, 2026. Injury announcements or withdrawal news for either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, or surface-specific form updates often influence trader positioning. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and draw announcements can also move the market. Player statements or coaching changes in the days before the match may prompt significant trading activity. Real-time match momentum during play will drive final price movements as traders react to live performance.