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Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic
polymarket
kalshi

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic

Volume:
$3,432,429

Marin Cilic

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 8:34 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marin Cilic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,235,671
N/A
N/A
$497,634
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$624,561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuno Borges

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,562,541
N/A
N/A
$544,192
Settled
No
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Libema Open tennis match between Nuno Borges and Marin Cilic, specifically whether the total number of sets played will exceed 2.5. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for the over outcome. The match resolution will be determined by official ATP Tour records. Watch for the match completion on June 17, 2026, as the resolution date when the final set count will be officially recorded.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case handling (walkovers, retirements, delays, cancellations) with explicit 50-50 outcomes for incomplete scenarios. Kalshi uses a minimal "ball played" criterion without addressing these scenarios, creating resolution uncertainty for forfeits and incomplete matches.Hero tip: Traders should treat Polymarket's detailed rules as the primary reference for edge cases. On Kalshi, assume that a walkover (no ball played) or cancellation before play may not satisfy the "ball played" requirement, but confirm with Kalshi support. For retirement/default scenarios where play has begun, both platforms should resolve to the advancing player on match winner markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Explicit multi-tier resolution framework: match winner resolves to advancing player on retirement/default; completion markets resolve to No on any forfeit; 50-50 for walkovers, cancellations, and delays beyond 7 days. Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.'
  • Kalshi: Minimal criterion: either player wins if they win the match 'after a ball has been played.' No explicit rules for walkovers, retirements, cancellations, or delays. Quote: 'If Nuno Borges wins the Borges vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Marin Cilic in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Nuno Borges wins the Borges vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marin Cilic wins the Borges vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect sharper, more dynamic pricing than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate continuous trader input and real money at stake. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds less frequently and build in wider margins. For the Borges vs Cilic match, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to different liquidity pools, trader sophistication, and settlement timelines. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand how different market structures price the same tennis event.

Key catalysts include recent form and head-to-head records, court surface conditions at the Libema Open, player injuries or illness announcements, and pre-match betting action from professional syndicates. Weather delays, lineup changes, or unexpected withdrawals can shift odds rapidly. Real-time match updates—breaks of serve, set scores, and momentum swings—drive intraday volatility. Media coverage and expert commentary also influence trader sentiment. Monitor both players' social media and official tournament updates for late-breaking news that could impact pricing on Polymarket and Kalshi.