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Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard
kalshi
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard

Volume:
$754,774

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard

 - Polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$697,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Thijs Boogaard

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,015
N/A
N/A
$8,965
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniil Medvedev

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,038
N/A
N/A
$23,824
Settled
No
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers the professional tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Thijs Boogaard at the 2026 Libema Open (ATP S-Hertogenbosch), scheduled for June 11, 2026. Markets span match winner, set winners, game totals, and set game counts across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers only Set 2-specific markets with minimal edge-case detail, while Polymarket provides a full suite of match, set, and game markets with comprehensive cancellation, delay, and incompletion protocols. The two platforms do not overlap in scope, so direct contradiction is limited; however, Kalshi's silence on non-completion scenarios creates resolution risk.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as complementary, not competing. Kalshi bettors are exposed to Set 2 only; if the match ends in Set 1 or is canceled, Kalshi's resolution is undefined. Polymarket bettors have explicit 50-50 fallbacks for delays beyond 7 days, cancellations, and incomplete matches. If you are hedging across platforms, note that a Polymarket 50-50 (due to cancellation) will not necessarily match a Kalshi Set 2 outcome. Confirm Kalshi's exact protocol for non-completion before placing large bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers two binary markets: Set 2 winner (Boogaard wins Set 2 → Yes; Medvedev wins Set 2 → Yes). No explicit handling of match cancellation, walkover, delay, or scenarios where Set 2 is never played. Resolution source not specified.
  • Polymarket: Offers 11 distinct markets covering match winner, match completion, total games (O/U 21.5, 22.5, 23.5), Set 1 games (O/U 8.5, 9.5, 10.5), Set 1 winner, Set 2 games (O/U 8.5, 9.5, 10.5), Set 2 winner, and set handicap. All markets include explicit 50-50 resolution for cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, incompletion, and walkover. Primary source: ATP Tour official statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Thijs Boogaard in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Thijs Boogaard. This market will resolve to 'Thijs Boogaard' if Thijs Boogaard advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins set 2 of the Medvedev vs Boogaard match at the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Round of 16. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are resolved to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on real-money trading, where odds emerge from continuous buy-sell pressure rather than a bookmaker's fixed line. This means prediction market prices often reflect live consensus faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information surfaces. However, sportsbooks may price more conservatively due to regulatory constraints and liability management. For this match, comparing the prediction market consensus to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing Medvedev differently than the betting public, potentially indicating sharper or contrarian positioning.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price variance. Polymarket's broader market scope may draw general sports traders, while Kalshi's set-specific contracts appeal to tennis specialists seeking granular exposure. Additionally, the two platforms settle through different verification processes and operate under distinct regulatory frameworks. These structural differences mean identical match outcomes can trade at different implied probabilities across venues, creating arbitrage opportunities for sophisticated traders monitoring both books.