TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC
polymarket
kalshi

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC

Volume:
$443,254

Shandong Taishan FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Shandong Taishan FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$219,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shandong Taishan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$57,543
N/A
N/A
$33,133
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Liaoning Tieren FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liaoning Tieren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,150
N/A
N/A
$14,889
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,400
N/A
N/A
$10,197
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Liaoning Tieren FC and Shandong Taishan FC scheduled for June 27, 2026. Three prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether Liaoning wins, whether Shandong wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market includes cancellation-with-no-makeup as a YES resolution, while Kalshi's tie market only resolves YES for actual on-pitch tie outcomes. This creates a logical gap for the cancellation scenario.Hero tip: Monitor for cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve YES but Kalshi tie market to diverge. Consider this basis risk when taking positions across both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Liaoning win (YES if Liaoning wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw OR if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Shandong win (YES if Shandong wins, NO otherwise). All reference official CSL statistics within 2 hours post-match or credible consensus reporting. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes: Shandong win (YES if Shandong wins after 90+stoppage), Liaoning win (YES if Liaoning wins after 90+stoppage), Tie (YES if match ends in tie after 90+stoppage). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the Liaoning Tieren vs Shandong Taishan professional Chinese Super League soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, June 27, 2026 between Liaoning Tieren FC and Shandong Taishan FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the professional Chinese Super League soccer match between Liaoning Tieren and Shandong Taishan originally scheduled for June 27, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each outcome—a win for Liaoning Tieren, a win for Shandong Taishan, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes based on the actual match result. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Liaoning Tieren vs. Shandong Taishan match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two major platforms where traders forecast the outcome. You can monitor real-time odds, trading volume, and consensus probability shifts as the event approaches. The cross-platform view reveals how different market participants price the same matchup, offering insight into where smart money is positioned. Tracking both venues helps you spot arbitrage opportunities and gauge overall market conviction on the final result.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets rely on trader supply and demand to discover prices. Prediction market odds often reflect longer-term sentiment and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially when retail or institutional traders have strong convictions. Comparing the two can reveal mispricing: if this market's implied probability differs significantly from a sportsbook's, it may signal an edge. Both sources are useful for triangulating true probability.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform-specific factors—such as user demographics, order flow timing, and market-making activity—can cause one venue to lead or lag the other. Additionally, each platform may weight recent news or team updates differently, or attract traders with distinct risk appetites. Monitoring both helps you identify which platform is pricing in the latest information and where liquidity is deepest for your trade size.

Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star players, managerial changes, or roster updates—that shift perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can trigger repricing as traders reassess win probability. Betting market moves on external sportsbooks may flow into prediction markets, especially if sharp action emerges. Weather conditions, venue factors, and pre-match press conferences can also move odds. Monitor social media, team announcements, and injury reports closely, as even minor roster changes can shift this market significantly in the final days.