TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 1:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Liaoning Tieren FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Liaoning Tieren FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For exact-score markets like this one, sportsbooks typically offer limited or no exact-score betting, making prediction market prices a unique source of crowd-sourced probability. Comparing the two can reveal where sophisticated traders see value relative to traditional bookmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell shares in each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact-score outcome has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the collective willingness of traders to bet on that scoreline. As volume accumulates and new information emerges, the odds shift to reflect updated consensus. Traders profit by buying underpriced outcomes and selling overpriced ones, which keeps prices efficient and responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, with all possible score combinations represented as separate trading contracts. Whichever outcome matches the official final score will be confirmed as correct, and traders holding shares in that outcome will receive their payout while all other positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that affect scoring potential. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader expectations about likely scorelines. As the event approaches, late-breaking developments—such as a player suspension or unexpected roster move—often trigger sharp repricing. During the match itself, early goals or red cards will cause rapid reallocation of probability across different final scores, making this market highly dynamic in its final hours.