TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Liaoning Tieren FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liaoning Tieren FC" if Liaoning Tieren FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chongqing Tonglianglong FC" if Chongqing Tonglianglong FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Liaoning Tieren FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liaoning Tieren FC" if Liaoning Tieren FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chongqing Tonglianglong FC" if Chongqing Tonglianglong FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who buy and sell shares based on their own beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like injury reports or weather. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on this match differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective confidence of all active traders; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome falls. Each share represents a claim on the outcome, and the price you see is the marginal cost to buy or sell at that moment. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction right up until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match between Liaoning Tieren FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal. If neither team scores, the market resolves to that outcome. Traders should monitor official match reports and sports news to confirm the result, as the resolution depends on the actual event outcome rather than any single data feed.
Several factors could shift odds before Jul 4, 2026. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers significant price movement. Recent form, head-to-head history, and venue conditions can also influence trader positioning. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking information like weather updates or last-minute roster decisions may prompt rapid repricing. Additionally, large trades by confident bettors can signal conviction and attract follow-on volume. Monitoring sports news and social sentiment around both teams will help you anticipate potential market swings.