TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
The market focuses on how each fighter wins the match, tracking victories by knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, or decision. A draw or no contest outcome is also tracked separately for each fighter.
These markets resolve based on the method by which Liam McCracken or Silvestre Sanchez wins the fight scheduled for September 1, 2026. Wins by knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), or disqualification (DQ) are one category. Wins by submission form another category. Wins by decision make up a third category. If the fight ends in a draw or no contest, this is tracked separately. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the specific granularity of the outcome being traded. Sportsbooks may offer broader categories or adjusted probabilities to account for different risk factors and betting behavior. Traders on Kalshi set prices based on their own assessments of fight dynamics, which can lead to shifts compared to standard sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges in the days before the event.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set the prices for each possible method of victory, creating a dynamic market reflection of their expectations. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of participants and can shift rapidly with new insights, fight-specific news, or changes in perceived fighter advantages. Volume and open interest on Kalshi further indicate where trader confidence lies in each potential result.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result will be based on the sanctioned fight’s outcome and declared method of victory, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Key signals such as pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, and shifting betting trends can all influence this market. Any change in the perceived advantage of a fighter, or new analysis of fighting styles and historical outcomes, may cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions. As the fight nears, even minor news can create noticeable price swings, reflecting evolving expectations about how the match will conclude.