TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game between the LG Twins and Samsung Lions. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds, offering different levels of scoring intensity.
The markets resolve based on the total runs scored by both the LG Twins and Samsung Lions in their college baseball game scheduled for September 13, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run threshold: over 5.5, over 7.5, over 9.5, and over 11.5 runs. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines influenced by factors like team news and public perception, while this market allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information and adjust probabilities dynamically. If sportsbook odds suggest a specific total runs outcome is highly likely, we might see a corresponding higher price for that outcome in this market, but it’s not always a direct correlation. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions and risk assessments among traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly updating its forecast based on the aggregated views of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the game’s potential scoring.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total runs scored in the LG Twins versus Samsung Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources covering the KBO League, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual total runs. Traders holding contracts aligned with the correct total runs will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market’s resolution is based solely on the official game results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the LG Twins or Samsung Lions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions at the game location are also a crucial factor, as rain delays or strong winds can impact scoring. Furthermore, in-game events, such as early scoring plays or dominant pitching performances, will likely cause rapid adjustments in the market prices as traders react to the unfolding action.