TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between the LG Twins and Samsung Lions, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific run differential in a scheduled match. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it occurs on the specified date.
The event consists of four distinct markets, each evaluating different run-differential thresholds for either the LG Twins or Samsung Lions to win the game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the designated run margin—either 1.5 or 2.5 runs—for their respective outcome. All markets are based solely on the official game result and are independent of any affiliations with the governing league, with Kalshi explicitly stating it has no official connection to the Korea Baseball Organization (KBO). Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on internal models and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective predictions of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the game. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the LG Twins versus Samsung Lions game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the KBO, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the resolved result of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup for either the LG Twins or Samsung Lions, or even weather forecasts could impact the perceived probabilities. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Unexpected performance in preceding games or a change in team momentum could further contribute to fluctuations in this market up until Sep 13, 2026.