TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
A Korea KBO regular season baseball game between the LG Twins and Samsung Lions scheduled for July 7, 2026. The outcome depends on which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is determined by the final result of the game originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves to 50/50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader consensus—no house edge or margin. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants without intermediary markup, which can sometimes reveal sharper pricing than traditional sports betting venues, especially when informed traders spot inefficiencies that casual bettors miss.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the real-time supply and demand for that outcome, ranging from $0 to $1. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, and the price updates instantly. This transparent, peer-to-peer pricing model ensures that the odds you see are always the result of active market participation rather than a fixed algorithm.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome will be determined by the final result of the game between the two teams. All shares corresponding to the correct outcome will be worth $1 at settlement, while incorrect shares expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sports news and league announcements as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include roster announcements, injury reports, recent team performance streaks, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions on game day, home-field advantage, and any late-breaking lineup changes can also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert predictions may sway perception, while unexpected trades or coaching decisions could trigger sharp repricing. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets closely, as even minor updates can prompt significant position adjustments among active traders.