TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how fans and analysts predict the competitive balance and potential scoring differences in the match. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it unfolds between the two teams.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between the LG Twins and Kia Tigers, scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether a specific team wins by a designated run margin: the Kia Tigers by over 2.5 runs, the Kia Tigers by over 1.5 runs, the LG Twins by over 1.5 runs, or the LG Twins by over 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, with each resolving to 'Yes' only if the stated condition is met; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals directly forecasting the outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information or interpretations, offering opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the final spread, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the LG Twins versus Kia Tigers game.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between the LG Twins and Kia Tigers at the conclusion of the game. The market will settle based on the official game results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the LG Twins or Kia Tigers would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as could late-breaking reports on team strategies or pitching matchups. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, even those not directly related to on-field performance, can also drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.