TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming soccer match between Leyton Orient and Stevenage, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes are determined by whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold.
The event covers four distinct outcome markets for the Leyton Orient vs Stevenage professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Leyton Orient wins by more than 2.5 goals, Leyton Orient wins by more than 1.5 goals, Stevenage wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Stevenage wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each market has independent criteria for resolution, and all are subject to the same temporal constraints and disclaimers regarding third-party affiliations and intellectual property rights.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by real money at risk, can sometimes provide more accurate forecasts, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, allowing you to assess where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Leyton Orient vs Stevenage match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value, representing the collective forecast of the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of goals scored in the Leyton Orient vs Stevenage match. Official sources will be used to determine the final score and calculate the spread, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leyton Orient or Stevenage would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility. Any information that alters the perceived probability of different spread outcomes has the potential to shift prices in this market.