TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams face each other in a match where the outcome is determined by which team progresses after the entire tie, potentially including extra time and penalties. The result reflects overall advancement beyond the initial 90 minutes.
If Leyton Orient advance past Bradford in the Leyton Orient vs Bradford soccer tie in the Round 3 of the EFL Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bradford advance past Leyton Orient in the Leyton Orient vs Bradford soccer tie in the Round 3 of the EFL Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show tighter spreads and can shift more rapidly based on real-time trading activity. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, this market provides a direct look at how informed traders price the likelihood of each outcome. The difference allows bettors to compare institutional and retail perspectives, potentially identifying mispricings or early momentum signals before they appear in mainstream odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants, adjusting continuously as new information emerges and volume changes. This mechanism allows rapid price discovery based on real-time sentiment rather than fixed odds from analysts or sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting the performance of both teams on the day and confirming the correct outcome for all participants.
Key moments like player injuries, tactical changes, or recent form for either side could shift this market. As Sep 8, 2026 approaches, updated polling data, expert analysis, and even weather conditions may influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute squad announcements or strategic decisions by coaches often create rapid price adjustments in the final days, reflecting new information as it emerges.