TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 27, 2026
Closed: Jul 4, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the set handicap outcome of the Tatjana Maria versus Madison Keys match at the Lexus Eastbourne Open tennis tournament. Aggregating data from Limitless and Polymarket, the consensus probability for Keys (-1.5) versus Maria (+1.5) stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official WTA Tennis scores database. Watch for the match result on or around July 4, 2026, the estimated resolution date when the final set outcome will be recorded.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Madison Keys in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Tatjana Maria" if Tatjana Maria defeats Madison Keys in their Eastbourne Open match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026, 11:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Madison Keys" if Madison Keys defeats Tatjana Maria. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market's odds reflect what thousands of individual traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market liquidity and sportsbook depth vary independently.
Polymarket and Limitless may show different odds for the same outcome due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and market mechanics. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Smaller or newer platforms sometimes lag in price discovery, while platforms with deeper order books and more active traders tend to reflect consensus faster. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when spreads widen, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent traders from fully exploiting these gaps.
Key catalysts include recent head-to-head performance, player injury reports, court surface conditions at Eastbourne, and pre-match commentary from analysts. Betting activity on external sportsbooks can also influence prediction market prices as information flows between venues. Momentum shifts during qualifying rounds, player fitness updates, and odds movements on related markets may trigger repricing. Monitor social media and tennis news outlets for breaking developments that could shift trader positioning before the match begins.