TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys
limitless
polymarket

Who will win the Lexus Eastbourne Open match between Tatjana Maria and Madison Keys?

Volume:
$969,985

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.5

 - Polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$51,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$899,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Match O/U 22.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks the set handicap outcome of the Tatjana Maria versus Madison Keys match at the Lexus Eastbourne Open tennis tournament. Aggregating data from Limitless and Polymarket, the consensus probability for Keys (-1.5) versus Maria (+1.5) stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official WTA Tennis scores database. Watch for the match result on or around July 4, 2026, the estimated resolution date when the final set outcome will be recorded.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Walkover resolution treatment differs between platforms. Limitless resolves all official winner declarations (including pre-match walkovers) to the advancing player, while Polymarket resolves pre-match walkovers to 50-50 but resolves mid-match retirements/defaults/disqualifications to the advancing player.Hero tip: The divergence only materializes if a player withdraws before the match starts. In that scenario, Limitless bettors backing the non-withdrawing player win outright, while Polymarket bettors get 50-50 resolution. For all other outcomes (match played to completion, mid-match retirement, default, or disqualification), both platforms resolve identically.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: Treats all official winner declarations as valid resolutions, including walkovers, retirements, withdrawals, defaults, and disqualifications. No special treatment for pre-match walkovers. Key Quote: 'a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.'
  • Polymarket: Distinguishes between walkover (pre-match withdrawal) and mid-match retirement/default/disqualification. Walkovers resolve to 50-50; mid-match forfeitures resolve to the advancing player. Key Quote: 'If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Madison Keys in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Tatjana Maria" if Tatjana Maria defeats Madison Keys in their Eastbourne Open match originally scheduled for June 27, 2026, 11:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Madison Keys" if Madison Keys defeats Tatjana Maria. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

PredictionHero aggregates trader sentiment on the Maria vs Keys tennis match across multiple prediction platforms, including Polymarket and Limitless. The dashboard displays real-time odds, historical price movements, and consensus probability estimates as traders buy and sell shares tied to the match outcome. By tracking activity across venues, you gain visibility into how different market communities are pricing this Eastbourne Open contest, revealing where conviction is strongest and where divergence exists between platforms.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market's odds reflect what thousands of individual traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market liquidity and sportsbook depth vary independently.

Polymarket and Limitless may show different odds for the same outcome due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and market mechanics. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Smaller or newer platforms sometimes lag in price discovery, while platforms with deeper order books and more active traders tend to reflect consensus faster. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when spreads widen, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent traders from fully exploiting these gaps.

Key catalysts include recent head-to-head performance, player injury reports, court surface conditions at Eastbourne, and pre-match commentary from analysts. Betting activity on external sportsbooks can also influence prediction market prices as information flows between venues. Momentum shifts during qualifying rounds, player fitness updates, and odds movements on related markets may trigger repricing. Monitor social media and tennis news outlets for breaking developments that could shift trader positioning before the match begins.