TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
Lexington SC and Oakland Roots SC compete in a USL Championship professional soccer match scheduled for July 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Lexington SC vs Oakland Roots SC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Each possible outcome—a Lexington SC victory, an Oakland Roots SC victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, less biased estimates because participants have direct financial skin in the game and no house edge to protect. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the two communities disagree on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the last matched trade sets the current price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of each outcome. As new information surfaces—team news, injury reports, or expert commentary—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The spread between bid and ask reflects the market's confidence and liquidity at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official result of the event. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payout distribution.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates, recent form and head-to-head records, and expert analysis or predictions published by respected soccer analysts. Weather conditions at match time, venue factors, and any late-breaking tactical news can also shift trader sentiment. Social media buzz and betting action on traditional sportsbooks may influence prediction market participants. As the match date approaches, increased media coverage and expert commentary typically drive volatility, giving traders fresh information to reassess their positions.