TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 8:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will dominate the first half of an upcoming soccer match by winning by a margin of two or more goals. It specifically tracks the performance of both teams during the initial 45 minutes of play, ignoring any events that occur in the second half. The outcome depends solely on the goal difference between the two teams in that timeframe.
The event determines whether either Lexington SC or Monterey Bay FC will secure a first-half victory by a margin of more than 1.5 goals in their scheduled USL Championship match. If Lexington SC achieves this dominant first-half win, the market resolves positively for that outcome. Conversely, if Monterey Bay FC wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals, the market resolves positively for their outcome. Only goals scored during the first half are considered for resolution. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions at that time.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the actual scoreline at halftime — specifically whether Monterey Bay FC holds a lead of more than 1.5 goals over Lexington SC when the first half ends.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, or strategic tactical changes could all shift expectations for the first half score and move this market. Additionally, any strong pre-game analysis or expert commentary suggesting a higher likelihood of a dominant start by Monterey Bay FC may increase its implied probability, while contradictory reports could push the price toward Lexington SC.