TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 8:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Andres Martin in the Lexington, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Andres Martin. This market will resolve to 'Andres Martin' if Andres Martin advances against Nicolas Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Arseneault and Andres Martin in the Lexington, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Arseneault' if Nicolas Arseneault advances against Andres Martin. This market will resolve to 'Andres Martin' if Andres Martin advances against Nicolas Arseneault. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On sportsbooks, the Lexington tennis match-up market is priced using traditional statistical models and historical performance data, often reflecting bookmaker margins. In contrast, prediction markets like this one aggregate trader sentiment in real time, allowing participants to bet directly on their beliefs. This dynamic pricing can sometimes produce sharper or more volatile odds compared to fixed sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges closer to Aug 11, 2026. The difference in approach means this market may diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly when trader activity shifts based on recent form or betting trends.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on confirmed sources. No further interpretation or external calculation is needed beyond the publicly recorded result.
Injuries, weather delays, or changes to player form could shift this market as the event nears. Media updates, betting trends on Polymarket, and analyst predictions often influence trader behavior. Any last-minute news affecting either competitor’s readiness or performance potential may cause rapid price adjustments, so monitoring pre-match coverage is key to anticipating moves.