TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets assesses the margin of victory in the Levante vs Bilbao match. Different thresholds measure how many more goals Levante or Bilbao win by, focusing on outcomes where the winning team secures a decisive lead.
The markets resolve according to the goal differential if Levante or Bilbao wins the match scheduled for September 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. 'Yes' outcomes occur if Levante wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Bilbao wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Kalshi states no official league affiliation, and trademarks remain with their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Typically, prediction markets can offer more accurate forecasts, especially when a large volume of trading occurs, as they harness the 'wisdom of the crowd'. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes provide a useful benchmark for comparison, particularly early in the market's life.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Levante vs Bilbao match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'yes' or 'no' side of the spread, and the price will adjust based on their actions. The more traders believe a specific spread is likely, the higher the price for that outcome will climb.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Levante vs Bilbao match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, minus any fees, while those on the incorrect side will lose their investment. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could cause significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for those looking to trade in this market.