This event group covers a La Liga match between Levante UD and Valencia CF scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets include spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score. The group tests consistency of resolution logic across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official LaLiga.com score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open) and cancellations (50-50 split).
Primary resolution logic:
LaLiga.com official final score
Core resolution logic:
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5) resolves YES if Valencia wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5) resolves YES if Valencia wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5) resolves YES if Levante wins by 3+ goals; otherwise NO
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5) resolves YES if Levante wins by 2+ goals; otherwise NO
Over/Under 1.5: YES if combined goals >= 2; NO if < 2
Over/Under 2.5: YES if combined goals >= 3; NO if < 3
Over/Under 3.5: YES if combined goals >= 4; NO if < 4
Over/Under 4.5: YES if combined goals >= 5; NO if < 5
Both Teams to Score: YES if each team scores >= 1 goal; NO if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match final score is official.
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between YES and NO outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed, resolution follows the official final score published on LaLiga.com at the time of official abandonment.
Scope Limitation: All markets reference only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the official final score is published on LaLiga.com following the completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 15, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.