TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo
kalshi
polymarket

Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo

Volume:
$1,044,402

Levante UD

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 1:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Levante UD

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$279,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Levante

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$148,487
N/A
N/A
$70,522
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Oviedo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$431,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oviedo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,981
N/A
N/A
$36,626
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,841
N/A
N/A
$34,756
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Levante UD and Real Oviedo.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's three markets collectively resolve YES for every possible match outcome (Levante win, Oviedo win, or draw), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market group fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured, resolving exactly one YES outcome based on the actual match result.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the match outcome. Trade only Polymarket markets, which have standard mutually-exclusive win/draw/loss logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve YES for any match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Oviedo wins, Market 2 resolves YES if the match is a tie, and Market 3 resolves YES if Levante wins. This means every possible outcome triggers YES on all three markets simultaneously, violating basic mutual exclusivity. Key quote: 'If Oviedo wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Levante wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Three mutually exclusive markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match outcome. Market 1 (Levante win) resolves YES only if Levante wins, Market 2 (draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, and Market 3 (Oviedo win) resolves YES only if Oviedo wins. Key quote: 'If Levante UD wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.