TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Levante UD vs. Real Oviedo
Volume:
$1,044,402
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between Levante UD and Real Oviedo.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets collectively resolve YES for every possible match outcome (Levante win, Oviedo win, or draw), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market group fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's three markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured, resolving exactly one YES outcome based on the actual match result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the match outcome. Trade only Polymarket markets, which have standard mutually-exclusive win/draw/loss logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: All three markets resolve YES for any match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Oviedo wins, Market 2 resolves YES if the match is a tie, and Market 3 resolves YES if Levante wins. This means every possible outcome triggers YES on all three markets simultaneously, violating basic mutual exclusivity. Key quote: 'If Oviedo wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Levante wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Three mutually exclusive markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match outcome. Market 1 (Levante win) resolves YES only if Levante wins, Market 2 (draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, and Market 3 (Oviedo win) resolves YES only if Oviedo wins. Key quote: 'If Levante UD wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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