This event group covers a La Liga match between Levante UD and Deportivo Alavés scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets span total goals (over/under at multiple thresholds), point spreads (both teams at multiple margins), both teams to score, and head-to-head outcome predictions across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use laliga.com official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical edge-case handling (postponement = remain open; cancellation = 50-50 split).
Primary resolution logic:
laliga.com official final score
Core resolution logic:
Total goals markets resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams: Kalshi >3.5 = Polymarket O/U 2.5 (≥3 goals); Kalshi >1.5 = Polymarket O/U 1.5 (≥2 goals); Kalshi >2.5 = Polymarket O/U 3.5 (≥4 goals); Kalshi >4.5 = Polymarket O/U 4.5 (≥5 goals)
Spread markets resolve on final margin of victory: Alavés -1.5 or Levante -1.5 requires 2+ goal margin; Alavés -2.5 or Levante -2.5 requires 3+ goal margin
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if and only if both Levante UD and Deportivo Alavés each score at least one goal; resolves No if either team scores zero goals
Resolution window: first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time, no penalties)
If game is postponed, all markets remain open until game completion
If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on its rescheduled date.
Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between Yes and No outcomes).
Incomplete match: If the game is started but not completed (abandoned), Polymarket explicitly states resolution uses the official final score as published on laliga.com at that point; Kalshi does not address this scenario but implies same treatment via reference to 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Threshold equivalence: Kalshi uses strict greater-than (>) thresholds while Polymarket uses greater-than-or-equal (≥) thresholds, but these are mathematically equivalent for integer goal counts: >3.5 equals ≥4, >1.5 equals ≥2, >2.5 equals ≥3, >4.5 equals ≥5.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time), with official confirmation from laliga.com. If postponed, resolution is deferred to the rescheduled match date.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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