TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 12:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Lesotho and Kenya (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 4, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the Lesotho and Kenya card-count event is priced as a binary outcome: either both teams combine for 4 or more cards, or they do not. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in each outcome, with the market price converging toward the true probability as the match approaches. Limitless uses an automated market maker model, so liquidity and spreads depend on order-flow volume. As the fixture date nears and team news emerges, the price will adjust to reflect updated expectations about disciplinary cards and referee strictness.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, following the conclusion of the Lesotho vs Kenya match. Resolution is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regular and added time. If the combined card count reaches 4 or more, the YES outcome wins; if it remains below 4, the NO outcome wins. Official match records from the governing football authority are used to settle the market. Traders should monitor team lineups, referee assignments, and historical card patterns in the days leading up to kickoff.
Several catalysts could shift the odds before Jun 5, 2026. Lineup announcements revealing suspended or injury-prone players will alter disciplinary risk. Referee assignment—especially if a known strict official is named—typically increases card expectations. Recent form and head-to-head history showing aggressive play or high card counts will attract YES traders. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tournament stage (knockout vs group) also influence card volume. Breaking news of team feuds or player feuds can spike volatility. As kickoff approaches, late team news and betting-market activity on related markets may signal sharp money moving into or out of the card-count outcome.