TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Leones Negros and Piratas Veracruz, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Bets are settled according to specific goal-differential thresholds set for each team.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Leones Negros vs Piratas Veracruz professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for August 30, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Leones Negros winning by more than 2.5 goals, Leones Negros winning by more than 1.5 goals, Piratas Veracruz winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Piratas Veracruz winning by more than 2.5 goals. The match result is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. Only the final score within this standard match duration is used to assess whether any of the specified goal-differential conditions are met. The resolving entity explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, showing how the community evaluates Leones Negros’s chances of winning by more than the set spread. Market depth and recent trading activity influence fluctuations in the odds.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official match score, determining whether Leones Negros covered the spread against Piratas Veracruz. No further interpretation or external calculation is needed beyond the publicly recorded match result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performance shifts leading up to the match could move this market. Additionally, any update to the betting spread set by sportsbooks, widely shared analyst predictions, or changes in team rankings may influence trader sentiment. As the event draws nearer, real-time news and weather conditions affecting gameplay can also cause rapid shifts in market odds.