TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 4:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same soccer match, assessing whether either team will win by a specific goal differential. The result hinges on the difference in goals between the two teams after the full duration of regular time.
This event evaluates whether Leones Negros or Jaiba Brava will achieve a win by a minimum goal margin in their August 16, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX match. Markets are structured around different victory margins: Leones Negros winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, and Jaiba Brava winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. All outcomes are determined solely by goals scored during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. Traders on Kalshi price in factors like recent form, injuries, and global sentiment, which can create divergence from standard sportsbook spreads. While sportsbooks set fixed lines, this market updates continuously based on trader activity, potentially offering sharper or more nuanced insights.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible point-spread outcomes. The current implied probability reflects market consensus on which team is likely to cover the spread, with volume of $5,560 showing overall interest. Prices adjust instantly to new information and trading patterns.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the spread favorite covered or the underdog kept it close enough, closing this market based on that result.
Injuries, lineup changes, or key performances leading up to Aug 17, 2026 could shift this market significantly. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and momentum swings during the match may also impact trader expectations. Any last-minute news about player availability or tactical adjustments by coaches often drives rapid shifts in betting odds as the event nears resolution.