TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
A Mexico LMB baseball game between Leones de Yucatan and Pericos de Puebla scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. The outcome depends on which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is determined by the final result of the Leones de Yucatan vs Pericos de Puebla Mexico LMB game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with applicable rules.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because traders incorporate real-time information, personal conviction, and financial incentives into their positions. While analysts may rely on historical data and models, this market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have skin in the game. Comparing the implied probability here to published expert predictions can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that conventional analysis may have missed or underweighted.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens, and prices adjust in real time. This dynamic pricing ensures that the odds you see always represent the latest consensus among active participants.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources. The result will reflect what actually occurred in the event itself. Once the outcome is verified and finalized, traders' positions settle according to whether their prediction was correct. Until that moment, prices may continue to fluctuate as new developments emerge and traders update their views.
Key catalysts that could shift this market include team roster changes, recent performance trends, injury reports, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and any late-breaking news about player availability may also influence trader positioning. Additionally, as the event date approaches, increased media coverage and expert commentary often prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. Monitor sports news and team announcements closely, as even minor developments can trigger meaningful price swings.