TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Leon vs San Luis: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Leon vs San Luis?

Volume:
$130,924

Leon wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Leon wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 10:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leon wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$92,578
N/A
N/A
$36,507
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leon wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,938
N/A
N/A
$14,797
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,637
N/A
N/A
$4,501
Settled
No
kalshi

San Luis wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,369
N/A
N/A
$3,867
Settled
No
kalshi

Leon wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$402
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Leon vs San Luis soccer match. Different markets assess whether Leon or San Luis wins by a specific goal differential, reflecting the competitive balance between the two teams.

Kalshi

This event assesses whether Leon or San Luis achieves a win by a specified margin of goals in their match on September 14, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the goal difference after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Markets include Leon winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, and San Luis winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, each resolving to 'Yes' if the actual victory margin exceeds the stated threshold. The official league result determines outcomes, and Kalshi states no official connection to the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Leon vs San Luis match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, which is currently $117,961. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded since the market opened, which stands at $130,924. This provides a clear overview of market activity and sentiment surrounding the outcome of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for exposure to a particular result in the Leon vs San Luis match.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Leon vs San Luis match, specifically the final spread as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will then receive their payouts based on their positions in this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could also cause price fluctuations. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, especially if they offer compelling arguments for one team over the other. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.