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Closed: Aug 26, 1:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Leon will win the Leon vs Salt Lake professional Leagues Cup soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. On Kalshi, the current probability that Leon wins in regulation time stands at 98.0%, with the alternative outcome at 1.0%. The result will be determined by official match reports. The decisive moment will come following the match scheduled for August 25, 2026, with resolution expected by August 26, 2026.
The market resolves based on the result of the Leon vs Salt Lake professional Leagues Cup soccer game scheduled for Aug 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Leon wins, the 'Reg Time: Leon' market resolves to Yes. If Salt Lake wins, the 'Reg Time: Salt Lake' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Reg Time: Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets are strictly for regulation time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and detailed analysis. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants price outcomes based on their own research and expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, specifically whether Leon or Salt Lake wins in regulation time, as reported by recognized sports authorities.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategies, weather conditions, and pre-match betting trends could all shift this market. Any new information that impacts the perceived likelihood of a regulation-time win for either team may cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions, moving the odds accordingly as the match approaches.