TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The spread betting for the Leon vs Monterrey game will determine if Leon wins by more than certain goal margins or if Monterrey wins by more than certain margins. Various levels of victory are considered, indicating the extent of dominance required for each team.
The spread markets for the Leon vs Monterrey match evaluate various winning margins for both teams. For Leon, the conditions are winning by more than 1.5 goals and more than 2.5 goals. For Monterrey, the conditions are winning by more than 1.5 goals and more than 2.5 goals. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalties. The markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin, otherwise they resolve to No.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sets. Traders may price in nuanced factors beyond win probabilities, such as match dynamics or team form, leading to variations in implied probabilities. While sportsbooks set lines based on analytics and risk management, this market’s price is driven by collective user bets, which can create unique value points for traders looking to exploit differences between the two pricing models.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of different score margins. The current implied chance reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with liquidity indicated by volume of $106,764. Price movements respond quickly to new information, such as team news or betting trends.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will determine whether the spread is met or not, and the market will close based on that official result.
Key match previews, player injuries, and recent team performance trends could shift this market before Aug 23, 2026. Changes in lineup announcements, weather conditions affecting play, or strategic adjustments by coaches may also influence trader expectations. High-impact moments during the game itself—such as early goals or red cards—often cause rapid price swings. Any last-minute news regarding team readiness or tactical shifts could reshape market sentiment as the event approaches its conclusion.