TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
A music album tracks worldwide streaming performance during a specific week in late May to early June.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Lemonade streams up this week is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to the event occurring within the specified timeframe. Contract prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percent implied probability. Traders buy contracts if they believe streaming is likely and sell if they expect it not to happen, with the market price continuously adjusting based on order flow and new information about Lemonade's content schedule.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether Lemonade releases new streaming content by that deadline. The specific criteria—such as whether reruns, clips, or full episodes count—are defined in the market's resolution rules. Traders should review the exact contract terms on Kalshi to understand what qualifies as a valid stream and which platforms or formats are included in the determination.
Key catalysts include official Lemonade announcements about new content drops, social media hints from cast or creators, production updates, and platform release schedules. Industry news about streaming delays or accelerated rollouts can shift trader expectations. Proximity to the resolution date itself often triggers volatility as the deadline approaches and uncertainty resolves. Real-time viewership data or behind-the-scenes updates may also influence market pricing as traders reassess the likelihood of content arriving this week.