TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Leicester and Oxford United, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specified number of goals. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Leicester vs Oxford United professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026. Four distinct market outcomes are considered: Leicester winning by more than 2.5 goals, Leicester winning by more than 1.5 goals, Oxford United winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Oxford United winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable condition if the specified goal-differential threshold is met for the winning team; otherwise, it resolves 'No.' Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals willing to put their capital at risk. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It's worth comparing the implied probabilities from both to assess where the perceived value lies.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Leicester vs Oxford match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sports authority. The market will determine whether Leicester wins by more or less than 1.5 goals, based on the final scoreline. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted according to the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leicester or Oxford United would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news or analysis from sports commentators could also shift perceptions and affect the volume traded in this market.