TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Leicester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC is an EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for April 11, 2026. The event group contains three related markets across Polymarket and Kalshi that collectively cover all possible match outcomes: Leicester win, Swansea win, or draw. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures (three binary vs. one three-outcome) and Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that diverges from its Leicester and Swansea markets. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance.Hero Tip:
The primary risk is cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while Leicester and Swansea markets resolve No. Kalshi is silent on cancellation. Before match day, confirm with both platforms whether a canceled match with no make-up is treated as a draw or as a no-resolution event. If you hold positions across both platforms, this divergence could create arbitrage or hedge opportunities.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Leicester Win, Draw, Swansea Win). Resolution based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Primary source: EFL.com official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Cancellation with no make-up resolves Draw market to Yes, but Leicester and Swansea markets to No. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw only).Kalshi:
Single three-outcome market (Leicester Win, Swansea Win, or Tie). All outcomes resolve to Yes based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time result. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Assumes match will be completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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