TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Leicester City FC vs. Bristol City FC professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for March 10, 2026. Three related markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the final outcome: whether Leicester wins, Bristol wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms consistently measure the match outcome at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties, with three mutually exclusive resolution states: Leicester win, Bristol win, or draw.
Primary resolution logic:
Official EFL Championship match records and on-field determination by match officialsCore resolution logic:
- Leicester City FC wins if it scores more goals than Bristol City FC at 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Bristol City FC wins if it scores more goals than Leicester City FC at 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Match ends in a draw if both teams have equal goals at 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Resolution scope is limited to regular play and stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No; Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and a final score is determined.
- Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: Polymarket explicitly states: draw market resolves Yes, Leicester win market resolves No, Bristol win market resolves No. Kalshi does not provide explicit guidance for this scenario.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is based solely on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes at the 90-minute mark plus any additional stoppage time as determined by the match officials, on or after March 10, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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