TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that determines its outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Lehigh vs Penn college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Lehigh wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Penn wins by more than the point margins specified in markets 10 through 13, those respective markets resolve to Yes. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the actual result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely result, or potentially an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently than sportsbook odds as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Lehigh vs Penn game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders effectively 'bet' on their prediction by purchasing contracts they believe will be profitable. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the market collectively believes is the most likely outcome, and these prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges and traders update their views.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Lehigh vs Penn game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers and will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Lehigh or Penn teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the market. Additionally, any public statements from coaches or players that suggest a change in strategy or team confidence could move the price. Finally, large trading volume from informed bettors could also cause noticeable fluctuations in the market leading up to Sep 26, 2026.