TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Leganes and Castellon in La Liga 2. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential game disruptions, ensuring fair resolution if the match is significantly altered or canceled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Leganes vs Castellon professional La Liga 2 soccer match originally scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and does not include extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Leganes win, Castellon win, or a tie. If Leganes scores more goals than Castellon by the end of regulation time, the 'Leganes' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Castellon scores more goals, the 'Castellon' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the governing rules. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to buy or sell contracts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Leganes vs Castellon match. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current market depth and order flow provide insights into the prevailing sentiment surrounding the Leganes vs Castellon match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Leganes vs Castellon match, as determined by the governing soccer authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all shift traders' perceptions of the likely outcome of the Leganes vs Castellon match. Unexpected announcements or significant events related to either team could also trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve.