TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Leeds United vs. Sunderland AFC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Leeds United vs. Sunderland AFC?

Volume:
$966,463

Leeds United

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 9:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Leeds United

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$375,305
N/A
N/A
$234,114
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leeds United

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sunderland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329,334
N/A
N/A
$248,493
Settled
No
polymarket

Sunderland AFC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$196,605
N/A
N/A
$138,222
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Leeds United vs. Sunderland AFC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Leeds United will win the professional Club Friendlies soccer match against Sunderland AFC on July 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability for Leeds United to win is 100.0%, while Sunderland AFC has a 0.1% chance. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. Watch the match on July 30, 2026, as this is the event that will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic: resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with credible reporting as a fallback if official data is delayed.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a secondary source if needed

Core resolution logic:

  • Leeds United win resolves Yes for Leeds win markets and No for others
  • Sunderland AFC win resolves Yes for Sunderland win markets and No for others
  • Draw resolves Yes for draw markets and No for win markets

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed; resolution follows the same rules once played
  • Cancellation: Leeds win and Sunderland win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes per Polymarket rules, while Kalshi resolves Yes for all outcomes
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes, based on official data within 2 hours or credible reporting thereafterOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, July 30, 2026 between Leeds United and Sunderland AFC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional Club Friendlies soccer match between Leeds United and Sunderland scheduled for July 30, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Leeds United win, Sunderland win, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Leeds vs. Sunderland match-up market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the contest across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $966,463}, and 24-hour volume of $961,888}}, letting you compare sentiment and spot shifts in expectations as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differing user bases, liquidity conditions, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more international traders who weigh global fan sentiment differently, while another could reflect domestic betting patterns. These factors combine to create unique probability curves. Additionally, each venue may experience uneven volume distribution, amplifying small shifts in trader sentiment and leading to temporary mispricings between the two.