TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
For the EPL fixture featuring Leeds United against Newcastle, this event examines if each team finds the back of the net at least once within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The focus remains strictly on goals scored during normal match duration.
If Leeds United and Newcastle both score a goal in the Leeds United vs Newcastle EPL match originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own insights and information. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the probability of both teams to score, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering more favorable odds than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Leeds vs Newcastle match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring, creating a dynamic and informative market signal.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Leeds United and Newcastle United score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be used to settle the contracts on Kalshi. The final result will be based on the official match statistics, not on any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Leeds United or Newcastle United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.