TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Leeds United and Newcastle United. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming match between Leeds United FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Leeds United FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their opinion, which can lead to price discovery. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest, and can offer more competitive pricing. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers and promotional offers not available in this market.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Leeds vs. Newcastle first-to-score market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery, while lower volume might result in prices that are more susceptible to individual trades. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies.