TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lebanon vs. South Korea
polymarket
kalshi

Lebanon vs. South Korea

Volume:
$83,391

Lebanon

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lebanon

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,587
N/A
N/A
$26,137
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lebanon (-8.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lebanon vs. South Korea

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 158.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
70¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Republic of Korea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,994
N/A
N/A
$20,786
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Lebanon and South Korea, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket uses a three-outcome binary+draw model while Kalshi uses a single binary outcome that triggers regardless of winnerHero tip: Avoid arbitrage positions until platforms reconcile their resolution logic. Polymarket's structure is clearer and aligns with standard sports betting conventions

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market: Lebanon win = Lebanon, South Korea win = South Korea, Canceled with no makeup = 50-50 resolution
  • Kalshi: Binary market that resolves to Yes if either team wins, creating logical contradiction with Polymarket's structure
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET: If the Lebanon win, the market will resolve to "Lebanon". If the South Korea win, the market will resolve to "South Korea". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines whether either Lebanon or the Republic of Korea wins their scheduled men’s professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game on August 27, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If either team wins, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Lebanon vs. South Korea match-up market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It displays current probabilities, volume of $83,391, and 24-hour volume of $71,563 across platforms. This gives you a consensus view of market sentiment as it evolves, letting you see where the most confidence lies right now.