TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,661,467,257

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Le Mans vs Toulouse
opinion
kalshi

What is the result of Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Total volume:
$607,392
Volume 24h:
$606,955
179,723%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$318,453
107,066%

Toulouse

 - Kalshi

Toulouse - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Closed: Oct 16, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toulouse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$313,293
N/A
N/A
$158,939
3m
Yes
kalshi

Le Mans

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,567
N/A
N/A
$81,470
3m
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$135,532
N/A
N/A
$78,045
3m
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Ligue 1 soccer match between Le Mans and Toulouse scheduled for October 16, 2026. The markets ask whether Le Mans will win, Toulouse will win, or the match will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution depends on the official result of the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi lists all possible outcomes as resolving to 'Yes' while Opinion provides separate markets for each outcome resolving to 'Yes' or 'No'.Hero tip: The markets are essentially asking the same question, but Kalshi's structure is less intuitive. Focus on the individual win/loss/draw markets on Opinion for clarity.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Kalshi creates a single market where any win (Le Mans or Toulouse) or a draw resolves to 'Yes'. This is less granular than Opinion's approach.
  • opinion: Opinion creates three separate markets: Le Mans wins, Toulouse wins, and Draw. Each resolves to 'Yes' if the corresponding outcome occurs and 'No' otherwise.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Le Mans vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Le Mans wins, the 'Le Mans' market resolves to Yes; if Toulouse wins, the 'Toulouse' market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Opinion

This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Le Mans () and Toulouse (TOU), scheduled for 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC. - : If Le Mans wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - TOU: If Toulouse wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both and TOU options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Opinion, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Le Mans vs Toulouse match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $607,392, with $605,958 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, though it's important to note that differing opinions can emerge. The dashboard visualizes the implied probabilities from both venues, offering a comprehensive look at where the crowd believes the outcome of the Le Mans vs Toulouse match will land. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional sports betting.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Opinion, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balancing wagers, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market reflects real-time opinions, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. As more people trade, the prediction market odds can become a strong signal, sometimes even influencing sportsbook movements, and offering a different perspective on the Le Mans vs Toulouse match.