TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market concerns the outcome of the second half of a Ligue 1 soccer match between Le Mans FC and Racing Club de Lens. Participants are predicting which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the result will be a draw. The resolution is based on official statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Le Mans FC and Racing Club de Lens, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Le Mans FC" if Le Mans FC score more goals than Racing Club de Lens in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Le Mans FC and Racing Club de Lens score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Racing Club de Lens" if Racing Club de Lens score more goals than Le Mans FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between Le Mans FC and Racing Club de Lens, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Le Mans FC" if Le Mans FC score more goals than Racing Club de Lens in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Le Mans FC and Racing Club de Lens score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Racing Club de Lens" if Racing Club de Lens score more goals than Le Mans FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Le Mans vs. Lens second half can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform differs – currently Polymarket has a volume of $0 while Predict has a volume of $0. Different information sources and interpretations among traders on each platform can also contribute to discrepancies. These variations highlight the benefits of aggregating data across multiple prediction markets to gain a more robust understanding of potential outcomes.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Le Mans FC or Racing Club de Lens would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also move the market. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions or unexpected events affecting player morale, could influence traders' perceptions and lead to adjustments in the price of this market.