TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event will resolve based on whether LDU Quito and Palmeiras each score at least one goal in their CONMEBOL Libertadores match scheduled for September 16, 2026. The determination is made exclusively on goals scored during the normal course of play—specifically, the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to goals in extra time or penalty shootouts.
If LDU Quito and Palmeiras both score a goal in the LDU Quito vs Palmeiras CONMEBOL Libertadores match originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds can shift more rapidly than those at sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of both teams scoring in the LDU Quito vs Palmeiras match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in regulation time. The price of a ‘Yes’ contract represents the market’s assessment of the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange positions, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for the outcome, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both LDU Quito and Palmeiras score at least one goal during regulation time – excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The official result from the match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the final score against trusted sports data sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either LDU Quito or Palmeiras would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to affect the playing style or pitch conditions, could also move the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could shift trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself could also cause noticeable price fluctuations.