TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 10:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether LDU Quito will win their professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game against Mushuc Runa. Currently, Kalshi gives LDU Quito a 45.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 39.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the match originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026, as reported by the official game outcome, and will be settled no later than the resolution date estimate of September 2, 2026. Keen observers should watch the kickoff on September 1, 2026, as the start of the match will begin the 90-minute window for determining the result.
The event resolves based on the result of the LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match originally scheduled for September 1, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—or if the match ends in a tie for the Tie market. All markets refer specifically to the standard regulation time result. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event does not account for outcomes determined during extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation-time scenarios.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds because they incorporate broader market participation and can react faster to new information. While sportsbooks may set lines based on historical performance and public betting trends, this market prices in real-time trader expectations. The difference can be notable, especially as Sep 2, 2026 approaches and new data emerges. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value or shifts in market perception.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the highest chance based on market activity. The volume of $688,278 indicates liquidity and interest, while the 24-hour volume of $613,042 shows recent trading momentum. Prices adjust dynamically as new information about the teams or match conditions surfaces, leading to fluctuations that differ from traditional betting lines.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will finalize the market based on that verified data. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded result.
Several signals could impact this market before Sep 2, 2026. Key team announcements such as injuries to star players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions affecting the match venue can shift trader sentiment. Additionally, performance in preceding matches, media coverage, and betting trends may influence market movement. As Sep 2, 2026 approaches, any last-minute updates or shifts in public opinion are likely to cause price adjustments, so monitoring news and team updates is crucial for tracking this market.