TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 8:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for a professional soccer match between LDU Quito and Mirassol in the CONMEBOL Libertadores tournament. The focus is on determining whether each team secures a victory by a specified goal differential during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome markets for the LDU Quito versus Mirassol professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer match scheduled for August 20, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Each market has a specific threshold for the winning margin: LDU Quito must win by more than 2.5 goals, LDU Quito must win by more than 1.5 goals, Mirassol must win by more than 1.5 goals, and Mirassol must win by more than 2.5 goals. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the stated condition for that specific market is met exactly as described. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent the likelihood of LDU Quito winning by more than 2.5 goals. The current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, adjusting dynamically as new information emerges and trading volume of $24,558 flows through the market.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the full regulation time result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread — how many goals separate the two teams after 90 minutes — will determine which side of the market is settled as the winner.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team can all shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, any major developments such as weather conditions affecting play or motivational factors for each side may cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions, impacting the odds leading up to Aug 21, 2026.