TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 8:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a professional soccer match between LDU Quito and Mirassol in the CONMEBOL Libertadores tournament. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes include a win for either team or a tie during regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the LDU Quito vs Mirassol professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer match originally scheduled for August 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for LDU Quito, a win for Mirassol, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, prediction markets let traders vote with their dollars based on their own research and beliefs. This can lead to tighter odds or larger discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Traders should compare both to identify potential value or shifts in public sentiment before the match concludes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The current top outcome reflects the collective judgment of participants about which team is more likely to win in regulation time. Volume of $181,056 over the last 24 hours shows how active trading has been, while the chance percentage offers a clear, market-driven forecast of expected results.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match outcome in regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Once the final whistle blows and the result is widely reported, the market will close and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or tactical changes announced by coaches can all shift this market. Additionally, early betting trends, especially large trades on Kalshi, may cause price adjustments. News about team form, recent performances, or any disciplinary actions could also influence trader sentiment and move odds closer to the match. Keep an eye on pre-game analysis and last-minute updates for potential shifts.