TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of LDU de Quito vs SE Palmeiras?

Volume:
$1,410,882

Palmeiras advances

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 8:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Palmeiras advances

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$471,939
N/A
N/A
$214,119
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

LDU de Quito

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LDU Quito advances

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$740,261
N/A
N/A
$405,399
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras)

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether LDU de Quito will win their match against SE Palmeiras on September 16, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of LDU de Quito winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is https://conmebollibertadores.com/. This group centers on the outcome of the CONMEBOL Libertadores Quarterfinal tie between these two teams. Keep an eye on the match result on September 16, 2026, to see if LDU de Quito secures a win as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge in scope: Polymarket focuses on the single match result, while Kalshi focuses on advancement in the tie.Hero tip: Traders should recognize that a draw in the first leg on Polymarket does not guarantee a 'Yes' resolution on the Kalshi 'LDU Quito Advance' market, and vice versa.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket markets resolve based on the outcome of a single match (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes + stoppage time, using official statistics or fallback sources like Flashscore/Sofascore.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve based on which team advances to the next round of the CONMEBOL Libertadores, considering the aggregate score of both legs of the quarterfinal tie.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between LDU de Quito and SE Palmeiras.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on which team advances from the LDU Quito vs Palmeiras soccer tie in the Quarterfinal of the CONMEBOL Libertadores. If LDU Quito advances past Palmeiras, that market resolves to Yes. If Palmeiras advances past LDU Quito, their market resolves to Yes. The outcome is determined solely by the tournament progression, not the result of a single match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring. However, sportsbooks typically have higher trading volume and may offer different markets not available here. Comparing the implied probabilities can reveal discrepancies and potentially identify advantageous betting opportunities, though market efficiency varies.