TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 10:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the result of the soccer match between LDU de Quito and Mirassol FC after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. The match itself is scheduled for August 20, 2026, and will determine the final outcome.
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Thursday, August 20, 2026 between LDU de Quito and Mirassol FC.
If Aucas wins the Aucas vs LDU Quito professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If LDU Quito wins the Aucas vs LDU Quito professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Aucas vs LDU Quito professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The two venues attract different user bases and have distinct liquidity conditions, which can cause price gaps. On Polymarket, traders may react faster to local South American news or social media trends, while Kalshi could reflect a more global, delayed perspective. These dynamics often produce temporary mispricings until information equilibrates across both platforms.