TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of LDU de Quito vs Mirassol FC?

Volume:
$832,714

LDU Quito

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 10:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

LDU Quito

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$240,892
N/A
N/A
$128,168
Settled
Yes
polymarket

LDU de Quito

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$289,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC)

100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69,209
N/A
N/A
$50,221
Settled
No
kalshi

Aucas

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$156,896
N/A
N/A
$116,529
Settled
No
polymarket

Mirassol FC

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the result of the soccer match between LDU de Quito and Mirassol FC after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. The match itself is scheduled for August 20, 2026, and will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core logic: official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines outcomes, with specific resolutions for cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback if official data is delayed

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Use credible reporting if official data is unavailable within 2 hours post-match
  • Cancellations with no makeup resolve LDU win = No, Mirassol win = No, Draw = Yes
  • Postponements keep markets open until the game is completed

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellations: If the match is canceled with no makeup, LDU win resolves No, Mirassol win resolves No, and Draw resolves Yes
  • Postponements: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and the result is determined
Timing: Markets resolve within 2 hours after the match concludes, using official data or credible reporting if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Thursday, August 20, 2026 between LDU de Quito and Mirassol FC.

Kalshi

If Aucas wins the Aucas vs LDU Quito professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If LDU Quito wins the Aucas vs LDU Quito professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Aucas vs LDU Quito professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC match-up market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes across platforms. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $832,714, and 24-hour volume of $817,033 to reflect market sentiment and activity. By tracking this market, users can see consensus views and spot shifts in expectations as the event approaches.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The two venues attract different user bases and have distinct liquidity conditions, which can cause price gaps. On Polymarket, traders may react faster to local South American news or social media trends, while Kalshi could reflect a more global, delayed perspective. These dynamics often produce temporary mispricings until information equilibrates across both platforms.