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402,751

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2,632

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LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC
kalshi
polymarket

LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC

Volume:
$429,106

LDU de Quito

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 15, 2026

Closed: Apr 14, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

LDU de Quito

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$278,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LDU Quito

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,545
N/A
N/A
$16,188
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mirassol FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Mirassol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,557
N/A
N/A
$15,880
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,731
N/A
N/A
$6,680
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

LDU de Quito will face Mirassol FC in a CONMEBOL Libertadores match scheduled for April 14, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a single-leg group-stage fixture where only the standard match result (win, loss, or draw) determines settlement across all prediction markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 14, 2026, using the same primary source (CONMEBOL Libertadores official statistics or credible consensus reporting), with identical scope and timing requirements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from CONMEBOL Libertadores (conmebollibertadores.com) or credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: LDU de Quito wins, Mirassol FC wins, or the match ends in a draw.
  • On Kalshi, all three outcomes (LDU win, Tie, Mirassol win) resolve to YES.
  • On Polymarket, three separate binary markets exist: LDU win resolves YES if LDU wins (otherwise NO), Mirassol win resolves YES if Mirassol wins (otherwise NO), and Draw resolves YES if match ends in a draw (otherwise NO).
  • If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Kalshi markets resolve YES (any outcome), and Polymarket Draw market resolves YES while Polymarket win markets resolve NO.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond April 14, 2026, both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the actual match outcome whenever it takes place.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Kalshi resolves all three markets to YES (since any outcome technically occurred). Polymarket's Draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO.
  • Extra Time or Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from resolution scope. Only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If CONMEBOL does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms permit resolution based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon publication of official match statistics by CONMEBOL Libertadores within 2 hours of match conclusion, or upon credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed. Markets remain open if the match is postponed and resolve only after the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.