TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz in the Laver Cup, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz in the Laver Cup, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market believes a different outcome is more likely, or that sportsbooks haven’t fully accounted for certain factors influencing the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Alcaraz vs Fritz match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alcaraz vs Fritz match, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player is officially recorded as the winner of the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares on Polymarket. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive outcome to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even strategic announcements from either player’s camp could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches within the Laver Cup could also indirectly affect perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself – such as early breaks of serve or dominant performances – will likely cause rapid adjustments in the price of shares on Polymarket as traders react to the unfolding events.